Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #30
Shelbyville Regional Rank #9
Noblesville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 4.2%
Advance to Regional 30.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Harrier Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 426 438 521 422 422
Team Adjusted Rating 401 463 413 422
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Harrier Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational All Catholic Invitational
94  Taylor Tragesser 9 19:41 19:40 20:02 19:33 19:29
192  Katherine Kolb 11 20:24 20:05 20:11 20:45
253  Brinna Wolf 10 20:40 20:31 20:19 20:36 20:54 20:48
291  Keira Hines 11 20:48 20:23 21:01 21:24 20:37 20:28
348  Eva Parr 12 21:01 21:39 20:41 21:02 23:08
450  Sophia Galvin 12 21:26 21:46 21:03 21:42 21:35 20:58
485  Kara Van Woerkom 10 21:31 21:13 21:37 21:15 21:26 21:50
515  Claire Flannagan 10 21:36 19:55 21:53 21:37 21:10 21:51
658  Isabella Galvin 11 21:59 21:34 22:04 21:49 22:06
698  Ella Smith 12 22:05 21:54 22:12 22:09 22:24 21:26
708  Elly Rodgerson 10 22:06 24:19 21:31 22:11 22:00
716  Delaney Gould 11 22:08 21:41 22:12 22:54 21:59 21:56
833  Lucy Esposito 11 22:29 22:57 22:50 22:06 22:15
1,063  Caroline Ford 10 23:03 21:46 23:33 23:04 22:54
Mallory Ryan 11 23:57 23:13 23:50 24:35 23:53
Emilie Abel 12 24:39 24:05 25:48 24:43 24:18
Kadie Coon 12 24:55 24:05 25:27 24:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 4.2% 19.3 462 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2
Regionals 30.8% 6.9 207 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.1 6.5 8.6 9.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 5.8 138 0.1 0.8 4.3 25.5 54.9 14.3 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Tragesser 81.6% 90.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.8% 81.5%
Katherine Kolb 5.9% 142.8 1.8% 2.1%
Brinna Wolf 4.2% 162.9 0.1% 0.1%
Keira Hines 4.2% 179.6 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Parr 4.2% 198.9 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Galvin 4.2% 219.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kara Van Woerkom 4.2% 222.2 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Tragesser 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.7 2.8 3.9 5.1 5.1 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.6 6.5 100.0% 100.0%
Katherine Kolb 100% 44.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Brinna Wolf 100% 58.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 99.0%
Keira Hines 100% 66.4 100.0% 95.2%
Eva Parr 99.9% 78.6 99.8% 77.5%
Sophia Galvin 93.5% 100.7 42.8% 35.5%
Kara Van Woerkom 88.2% 105.1 16.7% 32.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Tragesser 12.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.9 4.6 5.8 8.5 10.2 11.1 11.5 11.6 10.2 8.3 5.9 3.3 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Katherine Kolb 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.2 4.1 5.0 6.3 6.3 5.9 6.8 7.6 7.0 6.6
Brinna Wolf 29.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.5 2.0 3.2 3.5 3.5 4.7
Keira Hines 33.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2
Eva Parr 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6
Sophia Galvin 43.5
Kara Van Woerkom 44.6